河北保定:阴雨影响棉花吐絮现货行情弱势稳定

百检网 2021-12-14
    河北保定棉花全部进入吐絮期,但近日当地雨水增多,影响棉花吐絮,棉农推迟采摘时间;国家抛储工作已经结束,新年度伊始,棉花现货行情日前保持弱势整理态 势。自8月28日当地开始阴沉天气,雨水逐渐增加,据当地气象部门预报:9月1日夜间至明天白天,当地有大雨出现,部分地区有暴雨,降雨时伴有雷电、短时 大风等强对流天气,强降水将引发农田渍涝。
    据了解,当地棉农及时将棉田的沟道进行了疏通,将烂叶清理,开裂的棉花及早采摘。由于当地棉花普遍进入吐絮期,降雨将影响棉花吐絮工作, 对于已经开裂未及时采摘的棉花将造成一定的影响。棉农预计近段时间棉花采摘工作将推迟,均期盼后期天气晴好,以利于棉花吐絮,否则将给棉花产量及质量均造 成一定的影响。
    据调查:当前棉花株高多在100-120厘米左右;果枝在13-16个/株,平均13.56个/株;现蕾2-4个/株,平均2.89个 /株;成铃22-25个/株,平均23.46个/株,各项指标均较去年同期有所提高;棉农表示若后期天气正常,棉花产量将达到220-250公斤/亩。
    截止目前棉农仅有少量采摘,随着国家政策的调整,预计今年棉农丰产不丰收,但棉农依旧期望能够达到4.00元/斤。
    国家抛储工作已经于8月底结束,纺织企业在进入8月中旬后纷纷有补库行为,其原材料库存数量能够到9月中旬,因此纺企表示目前并不急于采 购工作。但目前新花还未上市,贸易商现货报价比较坚挺,市场地产棉现货几乎没有,因此其报价无代表性,澳棉SM 1-5/32报价为152 0173 3840元/吨,墨西哥SM 1-3/32销售报价为17700元/吨,印度M S-6 1-1/8销售报价为16800元/吨,美棉SM 1-1/8销售报价为17500元/吨,报价均较上周持平。但是受新年度开始,新花即将上市的影响,今日郑棉期货CF501下跌突破14000元/吨关 口,*低至13895元/吨,加之人们普遍预计皮棉行情将呈下降趋势,因此持货商目前也是以销为主,实际成交价格略有松动。
    
    被雨淋湿的棉花


Hebei Baoding cotton all entered the boll opening stage, but recently the local effects of increased rainfall, boll of cotton, cotton grower delayed picking time; national throwing storage has been completed, the new year begins, spot cotton market has remained weak finishing state. Since August 28th, the local began to overcast weather, the rain gradually increased, according to local meteorological department forecast: September 1st night to tomorrow during the day, local heavy rain, heavy rain in parts of the strong convection, rain accompanied by thunder and lightning, short-time strong winds weather, rainfall will cause farmland waterlogging.

It is understood, local farmers timely cotton channel are clear, the rotten leaves clean, cracking of early picking cotton. Because the local cotton and generally in the boll opening stage, rainfall will affect the work of cotton boll opening, the cracking is not timely picked cotton will cause a certain impact. The cotton is expected to near section time cotton pickers will be delayed, are expected to post the fine weather, cotton boll opening, otherwise it will give the yield and quality of cotton were made into a certain extent.

According to a survey: the current cotton plant height in 100-120 cm; fruiting branches in 13-16 / plant, an average of 13.56 per plant; bud 2-4 / plant, an average of 2.89 per plant boll per plant; 22-25, an average of 23.46 per plant, all indexes were compared with the same period last year increased; farmers said that if the latter part of normal weather, cotton production will reach 220-250 kg / mu.

So far only a small amount of picking cotton, with the adjustment of national policies, is expected this year, farmers do not yield a good harvest, but farmers still expected to reach 4 yuan / catty.

The state of throwing storage has been completed by the end of 8, the textile enterprises in mid August after the replenishment of behavior, the raw material stock quantity can until mid September, so the textile enterprises said that at present are not eager to purchase work. But the new flowers are not listed, traders spot price relatively strong, the market almost no real estate cotton spot, therefore the quotation unrepresentative, Australian cotton SM 1-5/32 quoted price is 152 0173 3840 yuan / ton, Mexico SM 1-3/32 quoted price is 17700 yuan / ton, India M S-6 1-1/8 quoted price is 16800 yuan / ton, American cotton SM 1-1/8 quoted price is 17500 yuan / ton, prices were flat last week. But the new year, new flowers to be listed, Zheng cotton futures fell today CF501 breakthrough 14000 yuan / ton close the mouth, to the lowest 13895 yuan / ton, and it is widely expected lint prices show a downward trend, so the shippers is currently dominated by the pin, the actual transaction price slightly loose.

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